14. WORKLOAD FORECASTING › 14.6 Case Studies › 14.6.1 Processor Usage Study › 14.6.1.3 Training Phase Statistics Summary Report

14.6.1.3 Training Phase Statistics Summary Report

This report displays the model statistics from the training
phase and is used to evaluate the success and performance of
the model training.

  SUMMARY OF NEUGENT'S TRAINING PHASE
 NUMBER OF CASES USED FOR TRAINING: 000040
      AVERAGE MODEL ERROR MEASURED: 0.0092
  AVERAGE MODEL RMS ERROR MEASURED: 0.0001
       'GOODNESS OF FIT' FOR MODEL: 0.9960


 Figure 14-14. Training Phase Statistics Summary

For this case study, 40 cases were actually selected by the
Workload Forecasting Analysis application for the training
phase. The Average Model Error value of 0.0092 indicates that
a model error rate of less than 1 percent was observed and
the "Goodness of Fit" value of 0.9960 indicates that the
model predicted accurate values of the Forecast element 99.6
percent of the time during training.