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9.5.2 Delete Historical Data Observations Screen


If you entered a Y in the Delete observations field on the
Multivariate Regression Forecasting screen, the Extended
Options Menu appears, as shown in Figure 9-6.

/---------------------------  Extended Options Menu  -------------------------\
|Command ===>                                                                 |
|                                                                             |
|Inquiry Step:  Multivariate Regression Analysis                              |
|                                                                             |
|Print Reports                       ===> YES   (YES/NO)                      |
|Maximum R-Square for report         ===> 0.55  (0.00-1.00)                   |
|P-Value flag                        ===> 0.05  (0.000-1.000)                 |
|                                                                             |
|Delete historical data observations ===> N (Y/N/R)                           |
|                                                                             |
\------------------------------------------------------------------------------/

 Figure 9-6.  Extended Options Menu

Print         The Print Reports parameter controls the
Reports:      printing of the Analysis of the Model and
              Residual Analysis reports.  If you type YES,
              these reports are produced.  If you type NO and
              the forecasted file is NOT a Business Element
              File, these reports are suppressed.  These
              reports will always be produced for Business
              Element Files; however, the R-Square Ranking
              Report is not produced.

Maximum       The Maximum R-Square for report parameter is
R-Square      used during the production of the R-Square
for report:   Ranking Report to control the flagging of
              particular forecasts.  If the R-Square of a
              generated model is less than this value, it
              will be flagged with an RS-WARN flag.  A value
              of 1.0 in this field will disable the
              production of the RS-WARN flag in the R-Square
              Ranking Report.

P-Value       The P-Value Flag is also used in the production
flag:         of the R-Square Ranking Report to determine if
              any of the P-values of the model variables
              should be flagged with the P-WARN flag.  If any
              P-value in the model is greater than this
              value, it will be flagged in the report.  A
              value of 1.0 in this field will disable the
              production of the P-WARN flag in the R-Square
              Ranking Report.

Note:  The RS-WARN flag takes precedence over the P-WARN
flag.  This means that if a model exceeds both of these
warning criteria, the RS_WARN flag will be printed.

If you specify historical data observations for deletion on
the Multivariate Regression Forecasting control screen, you
may specify the deletion of selected historical observations
from the modeling process.  Figure 9-7 shows the Delete
Historical Data Observations screen used to specify the
observations to be deleted from the analysis.

/--------------------  Delete Historical Data Observations  --------------------\
|Command ===>                                                  Scroll ===> CSR  |
|                                                                               |
|Inquiry Step:  Multivariate Regression Forecasting                             |
|                                                                               |
|Line Cmds:  I Insert  D Delete  R Repeat  M Move  C Copy                       |
|                                                                               |
|Cmd   ---------  Dates to be dropped (specify in ddmonyy format)  ----------   |
| -    -------  -------  -------  -------  -------  -------  -------  -------   |
| _    _______  _______  _______  _______  _______  _______  _______  _______   |
| _    _______  _______  _______  _______  _______  _______  _______  _______   |
| _    _______  _______  _______  _______  _______  _______  _______  _______   |
| _    _______  _______  _______  _______  _______  _______  _______  _______   |
| _    _______  _______  _______  _______  _______  _______  _______  _______   |
|                                                                               |
|                                                                               |
|                                                                               |
|                                                                               |
|                                                                               |
|                                                                               |
|                                                                               |
|                                                                               |
|                                                                               |
\------------------------------------------------------------------------------/

 Figure 9-7.  Delete Historical Data Observations Control Screen

Note that the dates you specify on this screen must exactly
match the DATE value of the historical observations to be
excluded from the analysis.