The Estimates of Future Observations Report, shown in Figure 5-9, provides estimates of the future observations of the specified variables. Because a LONG forecast type was specified on the Profile and Trending Analysis control screen shown in Figure 5-6, the future estimates are based on the compound growth rates shown on the 11 MOS row of the reports shown in Figures 5-7 and 5-8. Like the Historical Observations and the Growth Rate Reports, the headings and page and column sequence of the reported data elements are defined with the Profile and Trending Analysis control screen. These reports are intended to provide simple sense of direction estimates for future values. These estimates are in no way statistically based forecasts, but rather provide estimates based on historical growth rates.
+----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+ |SYSID: TSO1| | | | EXTENDED EXAMPLE --- ESTIMATES OF FUTURE MONTHLY OBSERVATIONS | |ZONE: 1 | | |-----------+----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------| | | CHANNEL 1 | CHANNEL 2 | CHANNEL 3 | CHANNEL 4 | CHANNEL 5 | | | | MONTH | BUSY (%) | BUSY (%) | BUSY (%) | BUSY (%) | BUSY (%) | | | |-----------+----------------+----------------+----------------+----------------+----------------+----------------+----------------+ | SEP 98 | 9.0 | 32.3 | 14.7 | 11.1 | 15.3 | | | | OCT 88 | 9.4 | 33.8 | 14.4 | 11.5 | 15.3 | | | | NOV 98 | 9.8 | 35.4 | 14.1 | 11.9 | 15.3 | | | | DEC 98 | 10.2 | 37.0 | 13.9 | 12.4 | 15.2 | | | | JAN 99 | 10.7 | 38.7 | 13.6 | 12.8 | 15.2 | | | | FEB 99 | 11.1 | 40.4 | 13.3 | 13.3 | 15.2 | | | +----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+ +----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+ |SYSID: TSO1| | | | EXTENDED EXAMPLE --- ESTIMATES OF FUTURE MONTHLY OBSERVATIONS | |ZONE: 1 | | |-----------+----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------| | | CHANNEL 1 | CHANNEL 2 | CHANNEL 3 | CHANNEL 4 | CHANNEL 5 | | | | MONTH | SIO COUNT | SIO COUNT | SIO COUNT | SIO COUNT | SIO COUNT | | | |-----------+----------------+----------------+----------------+----------------+----------------+----------------+----------------+ | SEP 98 | 14645337.2 | 17970160.8 | 14499094.8 | 7289359.2 | 18741264.3 | | | | OCT 98 | 15083325.6 | 18507128.2 | 14310129.9 | 7723561.2 | 19466597.9 | | | | NOV 98 | 15534412.7 | 19060140.8 | 14123627.7 | 8183627.2 | 20220003.6 | | | | DEC 98 | 15998990.1 | 19629678.0 | 13939556.2 | 8671097.7 | 21002568.1 | | | | JAN 99 | 16477461.3 | 20216233.5 | 13757883.6 | 9187605.2 | 21815419.7 | | | | FEB 99 | 16970241.9 | 20820315.9 | 13578578.8 | 9734879.3 | 22659730.7 | | | +----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
Figure 5-9. Extended Example Estimates of Future Observations Report
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